Premiership Low Risk Accumulator 8/12/12

Low Risk Accumulator

Southampton v Reading: Verdict – Both teams to score

Sunderland v Chelsea: Verdict – Chelsea

Manchester City v Manchester United: Verdict – Both teams to score

33/10

We recommended punters to keep well away from the West Ham game against Chelsea.  Although Chelsea had won ten of their last eleven visits to Upton Park, we felt unsure about it.  A similar cloud hangs over this game – but we’ve convinced ourselves that Sunderland are simply in a bigger of disarray.  We’ve gone with Chelsea – especially after what can only be described as a strong team performance in the mideweek Champions League fixture against Nordjaellands.

          Both teams to score markets seem a safer option that outrights this weekend and our picks are the Manchester United visit to the Etihad and the clash between Southampton and Reading, where we envisage a low-scoring draw.

          Good luck whoever you choose to back this weekend and follow us on twitter @tfpredictions.

West Brom v Chelsea: Preview and Prediction

Saturday 17^th November 15:00: West Brom V Chelsea – Verdict: Chelsea 4/5

With John Terry having been in the news for something other than sex and prejudice, and out of the team for reasons other than suspension, Chelsea may feel a weight off their shoulders.  That said, the Mark Clattenberg affair has been giving opponents of the club a fair bit of ammunition.

          It will be an emotive visit for Steve Clarke, who played a huge part in the recent Premier League championship seasons for Chelsea, and he’s made a huge impact at West Brom – a side that showed what they are capable of against Champions League opposition by coming close to beating Manchester City last month.

          In spite of the occasion and West Brom’s recent form we still think that Chelsea will edge it, but it’s likely to be a close match and Chelsea could struggle if they fail to take charge in the first half, understandably the double-chance market should be a lot more temputous that the outright result.

Premier League High-Risk Accumulator

Premier League High-Risk Accumulator 36/1

Arsenal v Fulham – Verdict: Arsenal 1/2

Aston Villa v Manchester United - Verdict: Manchester United 1/2

Everton v Sunderland – Verdict: Everton 1/2

Stoke v QPR –Verdict: Stoke 5/6

Reading v Norwich – Verdict: Draw 9/4

Chelsea v Liverpool – Verdict: Chelsea 17/20

There are bound to be some upsets this weekend, but for a small-stake backing this gamble offers you quite a few talking points.  The Reading and Norwich draw bumps the price of this sixfold up, and that’s the highest risk of the lot if you want to lower the risk.

          If Saturday’s successful then you’ll have landed a 36/1 bet on Chelsea for Sunday with this accumulator.  Recently we said Daniel Sturridge was a tasty as a tramp’s toenail, but we’re bound to be a lot kinder to him if he plays with the weight of this bet behind him.

          The more reserved of you may want to look into making the most of the double chance markets instead of the outright result and if that’s the case then you may want to favour a draw in the Stoke game as well as the win.

          Good luck with whoever you back and whoever you support – and follow on twitter: @tfpredictions

Chelsea v Liverpool: Preview and Prediction

Sunday 11^th November 16:00: Chelsea v Liverpool – Verdict: Chelsea Evens

Liverpool have been as tidy and as classy as a French service-station toilet lately and most would favour Chelsea over them at Stamford Bridge – but Liverpool have beaten Chelsea in this Premier League tie before when they’ve been struggling to gain points elsewhere.

          Gianfranco Zola recently said that he felt Torres was still in love with his former club and to his credit it’s hard to argue that something isn’t quite right with him.  He’s been given the fast-paced midfield he publicly longed for and now doesn’t seem to be completely involved in the quick linking passes his teammates are becoming known for.

          A good game for Torres against his former club could be the moment he needs – but in spite of that we feel Chelsea, if that can handle the often unplayable and often punchable Suarez, should be able to edge the win regardless.  

          The double chance in Chelsea’s favour will be a sensible bet if you’re unable to resist the temptation to place some money on this match.   

         

Champions League Safe Fourfold

Champions League Fourfold

After landing a hefty 10/1 and a 33/1 last month we’ve had little to look back on in November so far – so we’re playing it very safe with this 11/10 fourfold:

Bayern Munich v Lille – Verdict - Bayern Munich 1/6

Braga v Man United – Verdict - Double chance, Man United or Draw 41/135

Chelsea v Shakhtar Donetsk – Verdict - Double chance, Chelsea or Draw 1/4

Juventus v Nordsjaelland – Verdict - Juventus 1/7

Juventus, having just lost their impressive home record recently, will be looking to avoid upset at home to Nordsjaelland and of all the games of the evening they are most likely to take three points in their fixture.  Some of the less conservative of you may be willing to back outrights in the Chelsea and Manchester United fixtures – and if you add Barcalona to that the higher-risk backing is then priced at 65/10.

High Risk Accumulator for 3rd Nov

High Risk Accumulator for 3^rd Nov 62/1

Fulham v Everton – Verdict: Draw 3/1

QPR v Reading - Verdict: Reading 7/2

Tottenham v Wigan – Verdict: Tottenham 1/2

Swansea v Chelsea – Verdict Chelsea 4/5

West Ham v Man City – Verdict: Man City 8/11

We've been more than harsh to Mark Hughes in recent weeks and it isn't going to stop this weekend.  We hope to see him at the full-time whistle with the face of a man who's come home to find chimpanzees smashing his kitchen. 

          The likelihood is that Reading won't take three points away, but QPR should be performing better and Mark Hughes isn't everyone's favourite flavour after making a cynical move from Fulham, so we're backing Reading.  

          At 62/1 this list is obviously wishful thinking and you've got every right to tinker with it to your heart's content.  Just bear in mind - there are some very close games to call this weekend and it's one to have some fun with; there are definately going to be games that cause heartbreak over the course of it.

Low Risk Accumulator for 3rd Nov

Low Risk Accumulator for 3^rd Nov  3/1

Man United v Arsenal – Verdict: Man United 7/10

Swansea v Chelsea – Verdict: Chelsea 4/5

Tottenham v Wigan – Verdict: Tottenham 1/2

At 3/1 this treble should offer you more than a bit of fun for Saturday’s Premier League fixtures, especially considering the first game of the weekend is the televised clash between Manchester United and Arsenal.  The more reckless of you, or those of you that support Arsenal, may want to make the most of the draw at 3/1 – but we see it as an unlikely prospect.  Fans of Chelsea and Man City can have a weekend where they can back Manchester United and share in the glory of the Gunners if they lose their money.  The most likely to cause concerns out of these three fixtures is the Chelsea game – Swansea can play fast paced football and a draw isn’t beyond them in spite of returning squad members like Torres being available for selection.

Swansea v Chelsea: Preview and Predictions

Swansea v Chelsea 3rd November 15:00: Verdict - Chelsea 4/5

The way the season has been going games like this one have to be won by clubs expecting to win the league.  Chelsea are leading what is becoming evermore increasingly a three horse race and have to beat Swansea to keep the rest of the pack from overtaking on the inside – and they'll will also want to be in the headlines for something other than race-rows and abuse of twitter. 

          Swansea’s second season is a big test and the club look likely to stay afloat for a third, but their survival is not being weighted on games like this one.  It’s a big day out for Swansea and this game could be tense, but we expect Chelsea to be firmly in control by the second half inspite of the late night they had mid-week and Swansea's elation as a result of defeating Brendan Rodgers and his new squeeze, Liverpool.

         Rested Torres scored for the Blues against Swansea last season, but also saw red in the fixture at Stamford Bridge – he’ll be wanting to have a better performance, aiming to return to the form seen at the start of the season.  We see him as a likely goalscorer if Chelsea are to win comfortably.

27th to 28th October High-Risk Premier League Accumulator

High-Risk Premier League Accumulator for 27th to 28th October 103/1

Arsenal v QPR - Verdict Arsenal 1/3
Aston Villa v Norwich - Verdict Norwich 3/1
Man City v Swansea - Verdict Man City 2/9
Reading v Fulham - Verdict Fulham 6/4
Everton v Liverpool - Verdict Draw 11/5
Newcastle v West Brom - Verdcit Newcastle Evens

This sixfold offers a price at 103/1 and, although its an unlikely backing, we thinks it's tempting and at the end of the day you can lose a pound in the bottom of your bag.  When you consider the chances of winning a tenner on the lottery are 54/1 we think this is a much better backing this weekend.  Norwich are the long shots and will send the winnings through the roof if they manage to beat Villa - look towards them to let you down here.

European High-Risk Accumulator 24th October 19:45

European High Risk Accumulator 7/1

Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid:  Verdict Real Madrid 9/7
Porto v Dynamo Kiev: Verdict Porto 8/15
Ajax v Man City: Verdict Man City 4/5

A price of around 7/1 should interest those of you looking to place a wide bet on tonight's Champions League football.  The fixtures last night, including those which were won by the obvious teams, showed us why this year's Champions League is as slighty more open than normal.  We recommend playing with cash you've found under the sofa - rather than your hard-earned.  There are some very tough to call away games forn the stronger squads this week - as Chelsea learnt yesterday.

European High-Risk Accumulator 23rd to 24th October

European High-Risk Accumulator: 73/10

Shakhtar Donetsk v Chelsea 23^rd October 19:45 – Verdict draw 21/10

Barcelona v Celtic 23^rd October 19:45 – Verdict Barcelona 1/11

Manchester United v Braga 23^rd October 19:45 – Verdict Manchester United 4/11

Ajax v Manchester City 24^th October 19:45 – Verdict Manchester City 4/5

We’re always going to keep away from tipping accumulators that look like Lisa Riley’s shopping-list.  We tend to favour backing three or four teams and tend to only tip the ones we know a bit about.  If you want to reckless tip on a Croatian youth team game on a wet Wednesday you’ll have to look elsewhere – or just save yourself the time and buy a lottery ticket.  This week’s Champions League is mostly made up of tight fixtures – of which we include Chelsea’s away game with Shakhtar.  Chelsea have been high-flying in the Premier League and have their captain John Terry available for selection – but blue eyes may be elsewhere, notably the Manchester United visit on Sunday.  We think a draw in this game is a real possibility and doubters of the ability should tread carefully.  Celtic have a snowball’s chance in the microwave of beating Barcelona and we think Manchester United’s pairing of Van Persie and Rooney will be fruitful again if the pair start.  Manchester City have also been backed by us to win on the ground that Ajax’s last Champions League encounter saw them embarrassed by Real Madrid.  If you don’t feel like risking the Chelsea fixture then you can drop it to get a smaller, but safer, price of 17/10.  Good luck – whoever you choose to back this week!